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Home | National | First Bank set to absorb N250-billion from offer

First Bank set to absorb N250-billion from offer

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•sets Nigeria’s record total applications

Indications are rife in Lagos that First Bank of Nigeria plc (FBN) will absorb as much as half of about N500-billion received during its recent public offer.

The bank on May 14, launched an offer to raise N100-billion through the issuance of 3,121,015,920 new shares made up of a rights issue of 1,496,762,682 units on the basis of one new ordinary share for every seven ordinary shares held by existing shareholders, and an offer for subscription of 1,624,253,238 ordinary shares of 50 kobo each at N31 and N33 a share, respectively.

Business Day learnt that the bank received a record 1.2-million applications from investors, leaving for behind the existing record of 400,000 applications in Zenith Bank’s initial public offering (IPO). It has turned out to be the most subscribed offer in Nigeria’s history in terms of cash.

Investigations show that the bank authorities may have resolved to absorb N250-billion of the total N500-billion realised from the exercise.

Business Day learnt that the value of all applications in respect of the offer totalled N500-billion indicating an oversubscription of 400 percent. Market sources also disclosed that the bank had been given the go-ahead to take up 25 percent of the oversubscribed shares as indicated in the prospectus.

It means that the bank will have to absorb N250-billion and allot shares in that proportion.

With this development, analysts say the paid-up share capital of the company which is currently 10.359-billion units is likely to double.

First Bank is not alone in the quest to push share capital above the N200-billion. Reports indicate that Union Bank plans to raise an extra N180-billion from a strategic core investor.

This bloated share capital, analysts say, may become a challenge on the banks’ earnings potential in the short term. They argue that just like the other banks that have raised capital from the market, the banks’ challenges will be more in terms of deploying capital to boost their earnings.

According to analysts, although there will be more funds at their disposal, earnings will automatically be diluted with an increasing price earning ratio.

In the case of First Bank, Abiye Karibi-White, stockbroker with Nova Securities, says the increase in share capital will definitely put pressure on the bank to meet shareholders’ expectations in terms of returns such as bonuses and dividends. "For now, we can rule out expectations of bonuses from the bank because the earnings would have been diluted by the time the shares are listed. That will also affect the share price and it means that it may not go beyond what it is now."

Kennedy Edah-Ikeh of ICMG Securities Limited contends that First Bank’s price earning ratio, which is an indication of the growth potentials, will automatically go up after the listing of the shares.

He says: "In terms of the price going up, the FBN might not be able to meet that for now because the new share capital would reduce the earnings per share to about N1.00, while the price earning ratio would also be high. Besides, it would be difficult to declare a bonus issue on this volume in the short term."

Gerald Ibe, CEO of Dakal Services, also notes that the new structure will affect earnings in the short term, adding that a lot of people who bought the shares at a premium while the offer was ongoing would have to hold on to their shares at least for now.

However, they express optimism about the future of the banks, saying that with more money at their disposal they will be able to do more business and carry on proper banking processes. This also indicates that they will be able to lend more money to their customers and businesses.

According to Karibi-White, the management of FBN as well as other banks would have to be on their toes and be more creative in terms of product development and innovative banking products that are tailored to the needs of their varied customers.

Other analysts note that FBN still has a strong public appeal and perception because of its performance in the past six years. The bank has consistently paid dividends and declared bonuses to its shareholders during the period under review.

Olawale Idowu of Hamilton Hammer & Co. Limited says the banks are already coming up with series of products for the needs of their customers. But he would like the Central Bank of Nigeria to be consistent with its regulatory functions so that the banking terrain would turn out for the better.

Comments (6 posted):

Mudiame Giwa-Osagie on 30 September, 2007 09:04:15
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What is the arithmetic?

If the total receipt is 500 billion Naira, 25% of the oversubscription of 400 billion is 100 billion making a total of 200 billion Naira.

My understanding of the prospectus is they will take 25% over their target of 100 billion making a total of 125 billion Naira.

It has been said that in very exceptional instances the SEC may allow a maximum absorption of 50% above the target making a maximum of 150 billion Naira.

Do not see where the sum of 250 billion Naira comes from.

If 1st Bank intends to absorb 250 billion Naira, they will have to call an extra-ordinary general meeting to explain to the shareholders how they intend to meet their projected return on equity, as per the prospectus.

I am opposed to absorbing money just because it is there.
Akanni Oladapo on 31 December, 2007 12:23:19
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How do we confirm that the northward surge in the capitalization of Nigerian Banks is a reflection of business fundamentals? Case in point: Google is trading at USD600+ because it has demonstrated capacity to add value and the macroeconomic and industrial fundamentals are in place to enable it do so. I am not sure the same can be said of/for Nigerian banks who seek additional funds from the capital market with no commensurate strategy to grow shareholder value.

In the absence of a concomitant regulatory and favourable political environment - coupled with a corruption free government with the guts to enact growth oriented fiscal policies - I do not see much hope for real GDP growth beyond the current 3- 5 % rate.In the absence of genuine economy growing activities such as the finance of Infrastructure and Industrialization what do the banks need all the money for?

My guess is that 'stolen funds are being rapidly deployed towards the aggressive acquisition of Nigerian stocks and the result is the distortion of fundamentals and a foundationless development which in time will be exposed for what it is.
Bernard Imarhiagbe on 01 January, 2008 04:21:42
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Banks see public offers as an opportunity to increase their liquidity and general fund. This is one of the legitimate use of public offers, however, it must be seen as an opportunity to develop the populace for the purpose of sustainability. The current trend in the economy of Nigeria is uncertain and unsustainable. Banks and other listed companies in the Nigeria Stock Exchange must review their fund raising strategy to ensure investor confidence. Any slight negative movement of investor confidence will adversely affect the market.
Somadina Akam on 01 January, 2008 04:53:22
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Sir,

I just saw this article while browsing the internet.

I'd like to know the outcome of the First Bank Big Offer of May - June 2007. I subscribed to 61,000 ordinary shares valued at NGN2,013,000.00 and my FPO number s FPO2001953401. I understand that there was significant oversubscription and that some subscriptions might be refunded. Is mine among those to be refunded, and what's the timing?

Thanks in anticipation.
Moses Robinson on 03 January, 2008 11:14:54
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I really am at a loss as to what propels Nigerians to rush head-long into investments that others as well are rushing into. It really goes against the fibre of cognitive investments. If First Bank does decide to take advantage of this "*** rush" who has the moral right to complain? I am even disappointed they didn't take all as is as I know Jim Ovia would have even if it meant hiring a whole zenith bank unit to pursue that remaining money to ensure it remains in zenith coffers. This is how business is done, take advantage of every niche opportunity with a monopolistic strategy. How many zenith banks can you count on one street near you?
Dayo Olaide on 26 February, 2008 10:29:38
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This is the time to grow a strong private sector that could drive Yar'Adua's admixture of development regimes- agenda 20, 2020; NEEDS 2; 7-point agenda. With expanding products from banks, the consumer has a broad access to liquidity and demand can be expected to rise. Investments in infrastructure is essential at this stage with targeted assistance to the private sector to respond to the expected demand change. But whether the highly capitalised banks have enough confidence in the private sector is unfolding and will tell whether we'll see a strong responsive private sector emerge or just increasing bank visibility measured in geometrical expansion in branch network; all of them competing and chasing the same retail customer/consumer.

I hope CBN is watching.

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